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四季度或不会有明显改变

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年07月19日 22:16:10
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(  证)(券)(时)(报)(记)(者)(江)(聃)(
  国)(家)(统)(计)(局)(昨)(日)(公)(布)(了)(10月)(份)(工)(业)(增)(加)(值)(、投)(资)(、消)(费)(等)(多)(项)(经)(济)(运)(行)(数)(据)(。整)(体)(来)(看)(,数)(据)(基)(本)(符)(合)(市)(场)(预)(期)(,表)(现)(为)(工)(业)(产)(出)(弱)(势)(平)(稳)(运)(行)(,固)(定)(投)(资)(小)(幅)(反)(弹)(,而)(消)(费)(品)(零)(售)(出)(现)(明)(显)(回)(落)(。国)(家)(统)(计)(局)(新)(闻)(发)(言)(人)(毛)(盛)(勇)(表)(示)(,在)(一)(系)(列)(组)(合)(政)(策)(持)(续)(作)(用)(下)(,国)(民)(经)(济)(延)(续)(了)(三)(季)(度)(以)(来)(总)(体)(平)(稳)(、稳)(中)(有)(进)(、稳)(中)(提)(质)(的)(发)(展)(态)(势)(,四)(季)(度)(也)(不)(会)(有)(明)(显)(改)(变)(,全)(年)(完)(成)(6.5%以)(上)(增)(速)(的)(任)(务)(应)(该)(没)(有)(问)(题)(。
  数)(据)(显)(示)(,10月)(份)(工)(业)(增)(加)(值)(同)(比)(增)(速)(为)(6.1%,与)(9月)(持)(平)(。前)(10月)(全)(国)(固)(定)(资)(产)(投)(资)((不)(含)(农)(户)()同)(比)(增)(长)(8.3%,略)(高)(于)(市)(场)(预)(期)(。10月)(份)(社)(会)(消)(费)(品)(零)(售)(总)(额)(名)(义)(同)(比)(增)(速)(从)(9月)(的)(10.7%放)(缓)(至)(10.0%。
  毛)(盛)(勇)(表)(示)(,社)(会)(消)(费)(品)(零)(售)(总)(额)(小)(幅)(回)(落)(的)(主)(要)(原)(因)(是)(由)(于)(去)(年)(汽)(车)(“一)(低)(一)(高)(”基)(数)(导)(致)(。去)(年)(10月)(1日)(,全)(国)(出)(台)(了)(1.6L以)(下)(小)(排)(量)(汽)(车)(购)(置)(税)(减)(半)(的)(政)(策)(,所)(以)(汽)(车)(产)(销)(两)(旺)(。9月)(份)(基)(数)(比)(较)(低)(,10月)(份)(的)(基)(数)(又)(非)(常)(高)(,所)(以)(今)(年)(10月)(份)(算)(同)(比)(增)(速)(的)(时)(候)(,一)(低)(一)(高)(的)(基)(数)(导)(致)(10月)(份)(增)(速)(比)(9月)(份)(回)(落)(。就)(汽)(车)(销)(售)(这)(一)(项)(,拉)(低)(了)(社)(会)(消)(费)(品)(零)(售)(总)(额)(0.5个)(百)(分)(点)(。还)(有)(一)(个)(因)(素)(,就)(是)(房)(地)(产)(销)(售)(回)(落)(也)(带)(来)(一)(些)(家)(具)(、家)(庭)(用)(品)(销)(售)(的)(回)(落)(。
  10月)(商)(品)(房)(销)(售)(面)(积)(同)(比)(增)(速)(从)(9月)(的)(34%降)(至)(26.4%,房)(地)(产)(开)(发)(投)(资)(同)(比)(增)(速)(从)(9月)(的)(7.8%升)(至)(13.5%。中)(金)(公)(司)(认)(为)(,10月)(商)(品)(房)(销)(售)(有)(所)(放)(缓)(,不)(过)(销)(售)(对)(投)(资)(影)(响)(有)(一)(定)(滞)(后)(,房)(地)(产)(投)(资)(仍)(然)(保)(持)(较)(快)(增)(长)(。
  毛)(盛)(勇)(认)(为)(,类)(似)(于)(汽)(车)(这)(种)(基)(数)(影)(响)(在)(后)(面)(两)(个)(月)(会)(减)(弱)(。今)(年)(全)(年)(经)(济)(增)(速)(的)(目)(标)(计)(划)(为)(6.5%~7.0%之)(间)(,完)(成)(6.5%以)(上)(应)(该)(没)(有)(什)(么)(问)(题)(。
  财)(政)(收)(入)(对)(完)(成)(全)(年)(预)(算)(安)(排)(的)(各)(项)(支)(出)(任)(务)(提)(供)(了)(保)(障)(。与)(9月)(相)(比)(,10月)(财)(政)(收)(入)(增)(速)(明)(显)(企)(稳)(,全)(国)(一)(般)(公)(共)(预)(算)(收)(入)(增)(速)(从)(9月)(份)(的)(4.9%回)(升)(至)(10月)(份)(的)(5.9%,与)(税)(收)(收)(入)(直)(接)(相)(关)(的)(部)(分)(经)(济)(指)(标)(有)(所)(回)(升)(。
  此)(外)(,毛)(盛)(勇)(也)(指)(出)(,经)(济)(运)(行)(还)(是)(面)(临)(一)(些)(困)(难)(,比)(如)(国)(际)(国)(内)(环)(境)(还)(比)(较)(错)(综)(复)(杂)(,面)(临)(的)(一)(些)(两)(难)(、多)(难)(的)(问)(题)(还)(比)(较)(多)(,经)(济)(企)(稳)(的)(基)(础)(还)(不)(很)(牢)(固)(。所)(以)(下)(一)(步)(还)(要)(继)(续)(加)(大)(工)(作)(落)(实)(力)(度)(,确)(保)(经)(济)(平)(稳)(健)(康)(发)(展)(。
  对)(于)(近)(期)(又)(出)(现)(的)(“蒜)(你)(狠)(”现)(象)(,毛)(盛)(勇)(表)(示)(,大)(蒜)(价)(格)(的)(上)(涨)(主)(要)(是)(两)(个)(原)(因)(:
  一)(个)(是)(由)(于)(天)(气)(原)(因)(,种)(植)(面)(积)(减)(少)(,导)(致)(大)(蒜)(的)(供)(给)(或)(者)(产)(量)(减)(少)(,从)(而)(导)(致)(供)(需)(失)(衡)(,推)(高)(了)(大)(蒜)(的)(价)(格)(。
  二)(是)(也)(不)(排)(除)(一)(些)(资)(金)(在)(里)(面)(有)(炒)(作)(的)(行)(为)(。这)(是)(个)(别)(商)(品)(短)(期)(的)(价)(格)(上)(涨)(,构)(不)(成)(通)(货)(膨)(胀)(。当)(前)(我)(国)(CPI的)(走)(势)(总)(体)(是)(温)(和)(上)(涨)(的)(态)(势)(,实)(际)(上)(从)(下)(一)(个)(阶)(段)(来)(看)(,CPI仍)(然)(很)(可)(能)(持)(续)(温)(和)(上)(涨)(。
  中)(金)(公)(司)(也)(认)(为)(,随)(着)(房)(地)(产)(调)(控)(推)(进)(,工)(业)(品)(供)(应)(偏)(紧)(的)(局)(面)(可)(能)(会)(有)(所)(改)(观)(,加)(上)(明)(年)(消)(费)(可)(能)(会)(放)(缓)(,通)(胀)(会)(回)(升)(,但)(不)(会)(形)(成)(高)(通)(胀)(压)(力)(。
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